Forecasting Foreign Exchange Rates Subject to De-Volatilization (Classic Reprint)
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Excerpt from Forecasting Foreign Exchange Rates Subject to De-Volatilization
Since the high frequency exchange rates are characterized by excessive noise, we add an extra condition in (4) to make the dv-series less sensitive to the noise. Often, we see that price jumps back and forth due to noise. When the first jump comes, it may significantly bias the volatility estimate. Waiting for next data point can minimize the impact of noise on our dv-series.
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