China as a Sea Power, 1127-1368
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Argues that during each of the three occasions when imperial China embarked on maritime enterprises coastal states took the initiative at a time when China was divided. Maritime trade and exploration subsequently peaked when China was strong and unified, but then declined when Chinese power weakened. These cycles of maritime activity, each lasting roughly five hundred years, corresponded with cycles of cohesion and division, strength and weakness, prosperity and impoverishment, expansion and contraction.
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